By Christopher M Peeks October 6th, 2024
In a recent Fox News interview, Pennsylvania Senator John Fetterman(D) said that Donald Trump "understood the importance" of Pennsylvania much like he did in his previous races. So does Kamala Harris. Even more so than him. While Trump has a more viable path to 270, for Harris, the road to the White House travels through the Keystone State
"That's why I'm spending my time in small rooms across Pennsylvania and in red counties," he said.
"I'm going to be all across Pennsylvania because we're going to fight for every last vote," Fetterman added. "And Trump understands that Pennsylvania picks the president. Our side knows this, and we've seen that happen both in 2016 and in 2020."
Harris will need Pennsylvania's native
Son and anyone else in her quest for votes. According to RealClearPolitics, in the last four polls, Trump and Harris are tied in two, and the former president led by three points in the others. However, the underlying numbers in recent polls reveal a more stark picture for the vice president.
Alarm bells are sounding off inside the Harris campaign. She must defy the odds to win, as 72% of voters think the country is headed in the wrong direction. The party in power has never retained control with numbers that high. But those are not the only ominous signs.
Labor groups favor Trump. Recently, the Teamsters and Firefighters's unions refused to endorse Harris. According to CNN's Harry Enten, the vice president is headed for the worst performance with union voters since Walter Mondale in 1984. Harris's lack of support for such a vital voting block for the Democratic Party is an electoral nightmare for a campaign attempting to motivate the base to turn out in a tight race, and this is the least of Harris's problems.
Right now, she's doing worse with Catholic voters than Biden did in 2020 by about seven points, but the demographic that may doom her candidacy is Latino voters. Harris edges out Trump 54% to 40 with Latinos. President Biden, in comparison, won this group by 33 points, narrowly carrying the state by a mere 80,000 ballots. With Harris receiving 20% less support and Latinos accounting for 600,000 Pennsylvania voters, making up this math looks insurmountable.
Unlike his two previous campaigns in which Donald Trump trailed in Pennsylvania and, in some cases, not even in the margin of error, he is slightly ahead of Harris. There are 37 days until election day, but the math is in Trump's favor.
Christopher M Peeks
Reporter and Columnist
Alabama Political Contributor
.
Comentarios