By Christopher M Peeks October 1st, 2024
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In a recent Quinnipiac University poll, it has been revealed that former President Trump has increased his lead over Vice President Harris in Georgia. The poll indicates that Trump is currently ahead by 6 points in the Peach State, with 50 percent of likely voters supporting him compared to Harris's 44 percent. The remaining 3 percent of respondents endorsed other candidates.
C-Julie Mueller
This latest data shows an increase in Trump's lead compared to the previous month, where he was up by 4 points in the same poll among likely Georgia voters. Additionally, the poll suggests that Trump holds a 2-point lead in the crucial swing state of North Carolina, although it is described as being too close to call.
Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy emphasised the importance of these states, as they hold a combined total of 32 electoral votes, which could be crucial in determining the election outcome. The analyst suggested that the current race appears to be leaning in Trump's favor in Georgia, while North Carolina is heading towards a closely contested finish.
The poll was conducted in late September, coinciding with the aftermath of Hurricane Helene, which caused significant damage in the southeastern United States, including parts of Georgia and North Carolina. As these states show signs of a tightening presidential race, the impact of the storms on voter sentiment remains uncertain, especially with Election Day just over a month away.
It is important to note that Trump won both Georgia and North Carolina in the 2016 election. While he secured North Carolina in 2020, President Biden narrowly won Georgia. The latest polling averages from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ indicate a tie in Georgia and a narrow 0.8-point lead for Trump in North Carolina.
https://www.tobsal.com/post/trump-momentum-builds-as-new-poll-shows-him-leading-harris-in-five-of-se
After the hurricane, Trump visited Georgia, while Vice President Harris curtailed her West Coast campaign tour to return to Washington for FEMA briefings. The White House has expressed that Harris intends to visit affected areas "as soon as possible without disrupting emergency response operations."
The Quinnipiac University Poll surveyed 942 likely voters in Georgia and 953 likely voters in North Carolina from September 25th to 29th. The margin of error for both samples was reported to be 3.2 percentage points.
Christopher M Peeks
Reporter and Columnist
Alabama Political Contributor
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